A structural analysis of Australian threat discourse, institutional coherence, and civilisational stress across 125 years — using the Complex Adaptive Model System (CAMS) and the National Library of Australia's digitised press archive.
Human systems do not fail at random. Their stress builds in patterns.
How Australian public discourse has repeatedly manufactured foreign threats — from the Yellow Peril panics of the 1900s through Red Scare to the contemporary China Threat. A structural reading of 125 years of anxiety.
Read the arc story → Working Paper · WWI · WWIICan structural CAMS signals detect societal crisis before the fact? A without-hindsight analysis of Germany, UK, Russia, and Norway across both World Wars — testing whether the Shield Hypertrophy Index provides actionable lead time.
Read the working paper → Interactive · Charts · DataExplore the underlying datasets interactively. Trove threat discourse frequency, Hansard parliamentary language, Australia's CAMS structural profile, and Germany's pre-war Shield Hypertrophy trajectory — all in one place.
Explore the data →