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What is CAMS? — sixty seconds

Every stable society in history has had to solve the same eight problems: who leads, who defends, who remembers, who legitimises, who produces, who labours, who circulates resources, and who maintains knowledge. CAMS calls these the eight nodes.

Each node is scored on four dimensions each year — how coherent it is internally, how much capacity it has, how much stress it's under, and how sophisticated its planning is. Those scores produce a number. Track that number across decades and you get a trajectory: not a prediction, but a measurable direction of travel.

When institutions stay coordinated under pressure, societies function. When the connections between them fray — when executive leadership loses contact with the economy, or cultural legitimacy decouples from productive capacity — the system starts to behave differently. CAMS is designed to detect that shift before it becomes a crisis.

The dataset currently covers 45 historical series across 38 societies and organisations, from ancient Rome to contemporary Norway to Boeing, with 39,351 node-year records freely available for download.