Neural Nations

Thermodynamic intelligence for a finite planet

We treat societies exactly like the dissipative physical systems they are.

CAMS is the first (and currently only) quantitative, thermodynamically lawful model of collective cognition.
No narratives. No ideology. Just energy, entropy, and phase transitions.

What it sees right now — March 2026

Society Year EROEI R (Φ/Ψ) Health 10-yr Crisis Probability Classification
United States 2025 9.2 3.41 28% 74 ± 9% Fragile
China 2025 8.4 0.38 92% <1% Stable Core
Russia 2025 14.0 0.51 88% 4% Resilient Frontier
Australia 2025 18.0 0.42 91% 5% Resilient Frontier*
United Kingdom 2025 7.5 2.18 42% 48% Transitional
Rome 470 CE 3.2 8.70 1.8% 100% Terminal (fell)

* Australia maintains artificially high health via massive per-capita entropy export (Φ_export = 1.68 W·K⁻¹·cap⁻¹) - coal/LNG dumping the thermodynamic cost abroad

The Core Discovery

A society only "thinks" (deliberative mode Ψ) when it has surplus free energy to pay the thermodynamic cost of low-entropy institutional coherence.

When surplus disappears, it switches to "feeling" (reactive mode Φ) — short-horizon, stress-driven, kinetic behaviour.

War, revolution, and collapse are not political choices.
They are physical phase transitions.

32+
Societies analyzed

Live Tools

Interactive Dashboards

CAMS v2.0

Thermodynamic Analysis
• EROEI-based energy modeling
• R ratio (Φ/Ψ) analysis
• Model archaeology
• 32 pre-loaded datasets

🔬 Open CAMS Dashboard

CAMS GT Dual-Mode

Interactive Network Analysis
• Upload CSV or select datasets
• Interactive network graphs
• Phase classification
• Enhanced visualizations

🧠 Open GT Dashboard
About this dashboard — The CAMS dashboard runs on Streamlit Cloud and is open to all users with no login required. It loads cleaned CSV datasets from the public GitHub repository (32+ societies, 1800–2025 where available). Node value and bond strength formulas follow the CAMS v2.3 specification. The thermodynamic R ratio (Φ/Ψ) and EROEI parameters are documented in the research diary. No personal data is collected by the dashboard.

Kari McKern
Built with Claude Code