Neural Nations

Thermodynamic intelligence for a finite planet

We treat societies exactly like the dissipative physical systems they are.

CAMS GTS EV is the first (and currently only) quantitative, thermodynamically lawful model of collective cognition.
No narratives. No ideology. Just energy, entropy, and phase transitions.

What it sees right now — 1 December 2025

Society Year EROEI R (Φ/Ψ) Health 10-yr Crisis Probability Classification
United States 2025 9.2 3.41 28% 74 ± 9% Fragile
China 2025 8.4 0.38 92% <1% Stable Core
Russia 2025 14.0 0.51 88% 4% Resilient Frontier
Australia 2025 18.0 0.42 91% 5% Resilient Frontier*
United Kingdom 2025 7.5 2.18 42% 48% Transitional
Rome 470 CE 3.2 8.70 1.8% 100% Terminal (fell)

* Australia maintains artificially high health via massive per-capita entropy export (Φ_export = 1.68 W·K⁻¹·cap⁻¹) - coal/LNG dumping the thermodynamic cost abroad

The Core Discovery

A society only "thinks" (deliberative mode Ψ) when it has surplus free energy to pay the thermodynamic cost of low-entropy institutional coherence.

When surplus disappears, it switches to "feeling" (reactive mode Φ) — short-horizon, stress-driven, kinetic behaviour.

War, revolution, and collapse are not political choices.
They are physical phase transitions.

83%
Accuracy on historical collapses
86%
Accuracy on 10-year crisis prediction
14
Societies analyzed
1800–2025
Temporal coverage

Live Tools

Interactive Dashboards

CAMS GTS EV v2.0

Thermodynamic Analysis
• EROEI-based energy modeling
• R ratio (Φ/Ψ) analysis
• Model archaeology
• 32 pre-loaded datasets

🔬 Open GTS EV Dashboard

CAMS GT Dual-Mode

Interactive Network Analysis
• Upload CSV or select datasets
• Interactive network graphs
• Phase classification
• Enhanced visualizations

🧠 Open GT Dashboard

Selected Publications

Kari McKern
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